Week 16 Picks 2022

A very nice bounce back week in week 15 and had the refs not robbed Seattle at the end on a terrible non call we would be another 2 units up.

Week 15: 5-2

2021: 47-43-1

Game 1: 2 team 6 Pt Teaser: GB -1.5 & Buf +8 : Wong teaser, Cleveland has been so shorthanded with both injuries and covid that the season is slipping away, now going on road and playing in Lambo in December is a tough assignment, I like the Packers to win by at least a FG. Buffalo in a revenge spot here vs the Patriots, the wind should be easier to handle and I don’t see this game being over a TD either way.

Game 2: Ind @ Ari -1: This seems like the spot to buy the Cardinals at their absolute bottom after a terrible loss to the Lions and selling the Colts at their absolute top after their win over the Pats. If the Cardinals offense gets going back to their normal level, I don’t trust Wentz to keep pace without a few mistakes.

Game 3: TB @ Car +11.5: The Bucs are on the road missing their top 3 offensive weapons on the season, Godwin, Evans and Fournette, this feels like way too many points and a game the Bucs just try to go in and get out with a win and without pressing too much.

Game 4: LAR @ Min +3.5: This line moved a half point after Dalvin Cook was ruled out and I don’t think Mattison is that much of a negative plus Theilen is active. Rams have had some terrible road games, Minnesota is one of the last real home field advantages, this feels like a coin toss game so getting the hook is big.

Game 5: Chi +7 @ Sea : As an Eagles fan I will never not believe in Nick Foles, not sure how anyone can bet on the Seahawks as a TD favorite and while Fields probably gives a much higher ceiling game, the floor is probably worse than with Foles.

Game 6: Was @ Dallas Under 47: Dallas has played a much slower pace since Dak came back from injury, Washington gets Taylor Heinike back but it wouldn’t surprise me if he gets off to a slow start and Washington may also be without Antonio Gibson for this game or at least a less than 100% Gibson. I can see the Dallas defense cause all kinds of problems here.

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