It’s a busy week for everyone, I still have to get the Week 15 Review post up but Week 15 was a great one as we went 4-0. Review will be up soon but before that, I have a side for the Thursday Night Football game this week.
Week 15: 4-0
2015 ATS 54-33-2
Week 16- TNF
SD @ Oak -5.5
Bet% SD 36% Oak 64%
Betting the last few weeks of the season has as much to do with handicapping the motivation of the teams as much as it does anything else. Here on TNF I can’t see any reason for San Diego to show up and give a big effort where as Oakland is a young team trying to end the season on a high note with a home game in prime time.
On Sunday, the Chargers won an emotional game at home, widely believed to be the last home game to be played in San Diego for the chargers as they are expected to move for next year. In a disappointing season, it was one last chance for the Charger players to give their home fans a final positive moment to remember and you could see they were very motivated to do that. I helped to play the Dolphins who have quit weeks ago. Now coming back just 4 days later on the road, its hard to see how they get back to play at that level again with absolutely nothing on the line fort them.
By DVOA Oak is 12th overall while the Chargers are 25th, so we are getting the better team, at home, with an edge in motivation and at a good price.