Game 5: KC+6 @ Mia

Bet% KC54 Mia 46

Jamal Charles was officially listed as out and this line moved to 6. At the open -4.5 I thought KC was a pretty good play but didnt quite have enough value, I had Charles as a non factor from the start he was either going to be out or limited so to me his being officially out doesnt change how I see this game.  The more closely I follow this the more I think injuries to skill positions are over rated, especially in the first game if the injury.  Last week we saw Charles leave early and Nile Davis played well picking up 79 yards on 22 carries and scoring 2TD’s, he also had 6 catches for 34 yards.

Miami is coming off of a loss in Buffalo where they got outplayed in all 3 phases, including giving up big plays on special teams.  I just do not think they deserve to be 6 pt favorites over a reasonably functional team, which the Chiefs are.  Chiefs are riddled with injuries but as someone who watched Andy Reid coached teams for a decade he generally does his best work when his team gets hit by the injury bug, I think we’ll see that here.